The Union Budget of 2020-21 is one of great importance. An already slowing Indian economy was brought to its knees by the Covid-19 pandemic and related public health measures, causing unprecedentedly massive disruptions to business and commerce. The budget therefore needs to inject urgent vitality back into the market, and in particular address the growing employment problem.
While unemployment was already a problem pre-Covid, the pandemic caused the issue to escalate to crisis mode and extended the problem to sectors that have traditionally supported large-scale employment, including real estate and construction sector. Some estimates say that almost four million jobs were shed during the Covid lockdowns, with a disproportionate impact on the younger workforce.
Self-Reliant India campaign. On 12 May 2020, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the “Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyaan” (Self-Reliant India campaign). The purpose of this announcement was to create a roadmap to boost the Indian economy from inside. Covid 19 exposed the fragility of global supply chain and revealed the extent of India’s dependency on Chinese imports.
One of the pre-conditions for Atmanirbhar Bharat to not suffer the fate of the Make in India experiment is sustained job creation. One of the five major pillars of the Atmanirbhar Bharat campaign as identified by the Prime Minister is infrastructure. A focused and coordinated expenditure in infrastructure would go a long way in addressing the job creation objectives.
Infrastructure ensures direct—created in the building or construction of infrastructure itself— as well as indirect employment—created from occupations and services that are connected to project development (raw material industries such as steel and cement; security and other ancillary services; technology providers; ecosystem of logistics for the workforce etc.) see a boost. Further development of infrastructure has a multiplier effect on demand and efficiency of transport and increases commercial and entrepreneurship opportunities.
National Infrastructure Pipeline. India’s long term infrastructure plans are encapsulated in the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), which is a five-year action plan between 2019 and 2025 to implement world class infrastructure development in the country. The NIP also has an ambitious programme to attract investment. In December 2019, according to the central government, out of the total expected capital expenditure of Rs 102 lakh crore on the NIP, projects worth Rs 42.7 lakh crore (42%) were under implementation and projects worth Rs 32.7 lakh crore (32%) were in the conceptualisation stage and rest are under development. The government has identified around 6,835 projects under the NIP, some of the projects discussed in the NIP are as follows:..
Budgetary allocations to boost infra employment. As established, increase in infrastructure development is directly proportional to the creation of employment opportunities. Given the relatively low investment expectation from the state governments and private players due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the prerogative is on the central government to allocate funds and encourage development across infrastructure sectors. Defence, energy, railways, port, airport and MSMEs need greater focus as they have potential to generate the employment and entrepreneurial opportunities in these sectors.
For instance, India has huge potential in developing technological innovations in the manufacturing of photovoltaic solar panels; its installation and operations and maintenance. Taking into account the massive availability of rooftops and favourable climatic conditions, incentivising this environment friendly sector would not only cater to the employment and entrepreneurship opportunities but also help to release the burden of stressed assets of conventional energy.
Overhaul labour codes, Another important step to rationalise investment and employment generation would be to overhaul the archaic labour codes. This is something the government needs to give its attention to.
The stop-gap arrangement has been to suspend the application of labour laws in several states. However, there is no evidence that these measures have resulted in either increased investments or employment. The path forward will have to involve large scale stakeholder consultations and address the concerns of the workers who need protection of assured minimum wages, social security, reduction in job insecurity, health and safety standards, and a mechanism for ensuring collective bargaining rights.
In this Union Budget, the Finance Minister must focus on expenditure towards infrastructure projects and also outline a strong suite of policies focused on medium to long term infrastructure development. That is absolutely critical to pull the nation out of the present cycle of unemployment and and worsening opportunities.
This article was originally published in Construction World on 22 January 2021 Co-written by: Deepto Roy, Partner; Mayank Bhardwaj, Senior Associate; Annapoorani Ramu, Associate, Click here for original article
Contributed by: Deepto Roy, Partner; Mayank Bhardwaj, Senior Associate; Annapoorani Ramu, Associate
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